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The Latest on Equities, Bonds, Economics, Behavioural Investing, Climate Change & More


Keeping it Simple – How to Add Value Effectively Through Tactical Asset Allocation
Take a look at the equity weight over time of some multi-asset funds and you’d have thought that the manager was at best flipping coins...
Peter Elston
Nov 1, 20174 min read


Applying a Value-Oriented Approach to Asset Allocation
We employ two types of asset allocation: strategic and tactical. The strategic asset allocation for a particular fund represents the...
Peter Elston
Sep 30, 20173 min read


Five Points about Active Management in the Multi-Asset Space
I was presenting a slide deck entitled ‘The Art and Science of Multi-Asset Investing’ at five venues across the country recently, as part...
Peter Elston
Sep 30, 20176 min read


Yet More Shocking Findings About Active Management
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. Most of you will...
Peter Elston
Aug 31, 20177 min read


Multi-Asset Value Investing
This article is about the new investment process that was introduced while I was chief investment officer at Seneca Investment Managers,...
Peter Elston
Aug 31, 20173 min read


The Big Issues with 'Absolute Return Funds'
The three funds my team manage are all multi-asset, investing in equities, bonds, and specialist investment trusts that themselves invest...
Peter Elston
Aug 31, 20174 min read


An Attack on Poor Active Management
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. I abhor poor...
Peter Elston
Jul 31, 20174 min read


Interesting Anomaly with Respect to Global Fund Managers’ AUM Rankings
I mentioned at the start of this letter that we had been shortlisted for two prestigious awards. We were nominated in two of 18...
Peter Elston
Jul 31, 20172 min read


How to Protect your Portfolio
My framework for thinking about asset allocation and thus portfolio protection is based around business cycle analysis. It is well...
Peter Elston
Jul 31, 20173 min read


Preparing for the Next Downturn
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. The whole point...
Peter Elston
Jun 30, 20174 min read


Our Tactical Asset Allocation Framework
In light of my views on the next global downturn as set out in an earlier post, I thought it would also be worth touching on the...
Peter Elston
Jun 30, 20172 min read


Complexity Versus Simplicity
I am an advocate of the principle of ‘keeping it simple’. The three funds that my team at Seneca and I manage are all multi-asset,...
Peter Elston
May 31, 20175 min read


Value Investing, Whatever the Fashion
This article is about the new investment process that was introduced while I was chief investment officer at Seneca Investment Managers,...
Peter Elston
Mar 1, 20173 min read


Fund Objectives and the Search for Harmony
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. We think that...
Peter Elston
Mar 1, 20176 min read


Preparing for the Impending End of the Bond Bull Market
I know I bang on about this, but value investing is about so much more than buying low price-to-earnings or low price-to-book stocks....
Peter Elston
Mar 1, 20175 min read


The Bridge to your Comfortable Retirement
“If you’re going to burn a bridge, make sure you’ve crossed it first.” Whoever said that might well have been referring to the bridge...
Peter Elston
Feb 1, 20171 min read


Tactical Asset Allocation and the Business Cycle
I recently came across a paper written in 2008 by Robeco’s Pim van Vliet and David Blitz entitled Dynamic Strategic Asset Allocation:...
Peter Elston
Jan 1, 20174 min read


Why Value Investors Don’t Have to Restrict Themselves to Cheap Stocks
I’m thinking about launching a smart beta ETF called the “Smart Alpha Smart Beta ETF”. It would invest only in shares that go up. At the...
Peter Elston
Dec 1, 20164 min read


Value Investing is Not the Same Thing as Value Indices
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. I’m thinking...
Peter Elston
Dec 1, 20164 min read


A Selective Approach to Investing in Asia
I was fortunate to have spent twenty or so years working in Asia. It has been – and continues to be – the highest growth region in the...
Peter Elston
Dec 1, 20164 min read


Where's My Cycle?
An update on where I think we are in the business cycle with respect to growth, inflation and markets


Correlation or causation?
Data is too often presented in an unfair, unclear and misleading way


Dear John
Liontrust's John Husselbee's arguments in support of balanced funds are lame
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