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The Latest on Equities, Bonds, Economics, Behavioural Investing, Climate Change & More


Review and Outlook
October was clearly a bad month for equity markets around the world, with the MSCI AC World index falling 6.9% in local currency terms....
Peter Elston
Nov 1, 20185 min read
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Reducing Equity Targets
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. Last year we...
Peter Elston
Oct 1, 20183 min read
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Active Versus Passive: is it Different for Multi-Asset?
I have noted in my investment letters that in the multi-asset space, funds tend to do better in relation to their passive equivalents...
Peter Elston
Oct 1, 20183 min read
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The Investor as an Animal
Behaviour is everything. Our collective behaviour determines whether we as societies or as a race are creating or destroying. From time...
Peter Elston
Sep 1, 20183 min read
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It’s Different this Time. Really?
Just before the 1929 Wall Street crash, celebrated Yale economist Irving Fisher claimed that the stock market had reached “a permanently...
Peter Elston
Aug 1, 20183 min read
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Review and Outlook
Equity markets were generally strong in July, as investors appeared to shrug off fears of a global trade war. US and Eurozone equities...
Peter Elston
Aug 1, 20184 min read
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Some Home Truths for Investors
American author and publisher William Feather once noted, “One of the funny things about the stock market is that every time one person...
Peter Elston
Aug 1, 20183 min read
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The Benefits of Smaller Fund Size
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. It is well...
Peter Elston
Aug 1, 20183 min read
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Tactical Asset Allocation in the Current Phase of the Business Cycle
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. Our analysis...
Peter Elston
Jul 1, 20184 min read
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Cryptocurrencies: the Ultimate Bubble
Remember cryptocurrencies? Actually, that is a little unfair as they are still popular and thus still have much further to fall. Bitcoin...
Peter Elston
Jun 1, 20184 min read
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Review and Outlook
The month of May saw equities on the whole continuing to recover from their February and March declines as economic data remained broadly...
Peter Elston
Jun 1, 20183 min read
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Hubris is the Greatest Challenge
I am not exactly sure how I have ended up as a chief investment officer. Looking forward at the investment landscape, I generally only...
Peter Elston
Jun 1, 20183 min read
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Investment Markets are There to Make you Look Stupid
When you make a decision to buy something, whether a stock, a fund, an ETF or a passive fund, you impose on yourself a second decision,...
Peter Elston
May 1, 20183 min read
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Behave Yourself!
I’ve been writing quarterly articles for Trustnet over the last couple of years. The first four were on the subject of ‘investment risk’,...
Peter Elston
Mar 1, 20185 min read
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My Framework for Tactical Asset Allocation
My framework for tactical asset allocation is based on business cycle analysis and the documented findings that asset classes tend to...
Peter Elston
Feb 1, 20184 min read
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How Investors Often Make Bad Mistakes En Masse
Having now written two series of articles exclusively for Trustnet on the subjects of ‘investment risk’ and ‘value investing’, I now turn...
Peter Elston
Feb 1, 20184 min read
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Tactical Asset Allocation Framework
My first piece about asset allocation set out my framework for both strategic asset allocation and tactical asset allocation, as well as...
Peter Elston
Feb 1, 20183 min read
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Professional Adviser: Loud and Clear
My note: this piece was written by Julian Marr and captures nicely many of my beliefs about multi-asset investing and investing more...
Peter Elston
Dec 29, 20176 min read
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A New, Simple, Comprehensive Measure of Fund ‘Active-ness’
In the spirit of Christmas, I present in this final letter of the year some truly psychedelic charts! "I guess he’d never heard of Warren...
Peter Elston
Dec 1, 20175 min read
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Three Lessons from Value Investing
This is my fourth and final piece on value investing. Next year’s four will be on the topic of behavioural investing. In light of Richard...
Peter Elston
Nov 1, 20174 min read
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Where's My Cycle?
An update on where I think we are in the business cycle with respect to growth, inflation and markets


Correlation or causation?
Data is too often presented in an unfair, unclear and misleading way


Dear John
Liontrust's John Husselbee's arguments in support of balanced funds are lame
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