Peter ElstonDec 1, 20204 minStatistics and ScienceOf Probability and PresidentsCricket often produces riveting five-day games, but in early November the US delivered its own epic struggle. I refer of course to the...
Peter ElstonDec 1, 20164 minMarketsCitywire Investment Committee No.2As I write this Donald Trump has just been declared president and I congratulate him on playing a blinder of a hand. Let’s hope he can...
Peter ElstonNov 1, 20164 minMacroUS Election – a Dangerous DistractionAs I write this Donald Trump has just been declared president and I congratulate him on playing a blinder of a hand. Let’s hope he can...
Peter ElstonJul 1, 20166 minMacroKey Questions in the Aftermath of the Brexit Vote to LeaveThere is much that can be written about the referendum result. Indeed, much already has been. I shall try to keep this simple and focus...
Peter ElstonJun 1, 20164 minMacroWhat are Betting Markets Telling Us About the UK Referendum?From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. First it was...
Peter ElstonApr 1, 20154 minDo Markets and Currencies Fare Better Under Labour or the Conservatives?The world has known the date of the UK's general election for the last five years and, while it may cause some short-term volatility in...