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Pub Club: Peter Elston, Seneca Investment Managers

The below article was published in Citywire on 19 May 2016 by Ted Monrow ‘Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the...

Investing

Peter Elston

May 18, 20163 min read

What is the Best Diversification Strategy in Uncertain Times?

It is a tricky question, because safe-haven assets such as developed market government bonds are expensive, so owning them relies on them...

Investing

Peter Elston

Apr 30, 20161 min read

Just How Risky Are Equities?

In my last blog I made a very simple point, namely that the low or negative real interest rates that prevail currently across the...

Markets

Peter Elston

Apr 30, 20164 min read

Introduction of New Investment Process – One Year On

From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. Our new...

Investing

Peter Elston

Apr 30, 20169 min read

What are OECD Leading Indicators Telling Us?

The OECD calculates leading indices every month for a large number of countries. Chart 5 below shows the year-on-year change in the...

Macro

Peter Elston

Apr 30, 20161 min read

Inflation Watch

It is interesting that despite rising concerns about the outlook for global economic growth in recent months, there has been no...

Peter Elston

Apr 30, 20162 min read

Employment Watch

Unemployment rates across the developed world have continued to improve (see chart 3). There seems to have been some fall in the rate of...

Peter Elston

Apr 30, 20162 min read

Our Current Exposure to the US

Our exposure to US equities has been fairly light for some time, a position that on the face of it hasn’t worked for us. US equities are...

Peter Elston

Apr 30, 20161 min read

Is Multi-Asset a Gimmick?

From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. During a break...

Peter Elston

Mar 31, 20165 min read

EM Growth Needs to Recover to Pre-Crisis Levels

The volume of opinion surrounding emerging markets can, at times, seem deafening. For simplicity’s sake, I will discuss just two key...

Peter Elston

Mar 31, 20164 min read

Multi-Asset and the Changing Nature of Asset Allocation

Financial advisers will be only too aware that the difference between a comfortable retirement and an uncomfortable one is almost too...

Peter Elston

Mar 31, 20165 min read

Inflation Watch

As anticipated, inflation turning negative in the Eurozone in February did indeed prompt drastic action by the ECB, which announced a...

Peter Elston

Mar 31, 20161 min read

What does Proper Portfolio Diversification Look Like?

It’s a tricky question, because safe haven assets such as developed market government bonds are expensive, so owning them relies on them...

Peter Elston

Mar 31, 20161 min read

Employment Watch

Unemployment in most regions remains above what might be considered full employment though we are getting close in the US and the UK. In...

Peter Elston

Mar 31, 20161 min read

The Relevance of Multi-Asset Investing

We all know that the difference between a comfortable retirement and an uncomfortable one is almost too huge to contemplate. And yet you...

Peter Elston

Mar 31, 20165 min read

Employment Watch

Despite fears of slowing growth, unemployment rates almost everywhere came in lower than expected and, with the exception of Brazil,...

Peter Elston

Mar 1, 20161 min read

Whither Emerging Markets

I will be writing an opinion piece about emerging markets later this month for one of the trade journals. Here are some preliminary...

Peter Elston

Mar 1, 20164 min read

Inflation Watch

Perhaps the most important number coming out of the developed world was Europe’s February inflation turning negative. This prompted...

Peter Elston

Mar 1, 20161 min read

Outlook for Equities

It is possible that we are now in an environment in which the falls in markets since last summer, particularly those in early December...

Peter Elston

Feb 1, 20166 min read

Employment Watch

Most if not all central banks are tasked with maintaining price stability and full employment. This section looks at recent employment...

Peter Elston

Feb 1, 20161 min read

10 1113 14

Where's My Cycle?

An update on where I think we are in the business cycle with respect to growth, inflation and markets

Correlation or causation?

Data is too often presented in an unfair, unclear and misleading way

Dear John

Liontrust's John Husselbee's arguments in support of balanced funds are lame

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The Latest on Equities, Bonds, Economics, Behavioural Investing, Climate Change & More

Pub Club: Peter Elston, Seneca Investment Managers

What is the Best Diversification Strategy in Uncertain Times?

Just How Risky Are Equities?

Introduction of New Investment Process – One Year On

What are OECD Leading Indicators Telling Us?

Inflation Watch

Employment Watch

Our Current Exposure to the US

Is Multi-Asset a Gimmick?

EM Growth Needs to Recover to Pre-Crisis Levels

Multi-Asset and the Changing Nature of Asset Allocation

Inflation Watch

What does Proper Portfolio Diversification Look Like?

Employment Watch

The Relevance of Multi-Asset Investing

Employment Watch

Whither Emerging Markets

Inflation Watch

Outlook for Equities

Employment Watch

Where's My Cycle?

Correlation or causation?

Dear John

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