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The Latest on Equities, Bonds, Economics, Behavioural Investing, Climate Change & More


Do Not Let Your Comfortable Retirement Slip Away
Now is the time for a truly bold asset allocation
Peter Elston
Jan 6, 20236 min read
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Wealth Managers May Need A Complete Rethink
Persistent high inflation will make a mockery of balanced and risk rated funds
Peter Elston
Oct 27, 20225 min read
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May The Two Forces Be With You
A look at the last hundred years of US fiscal and monetary policy
Peter Elston
Jun 6, 20225 min read
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Mea Culpa? Hardly...
It is important that governments are honest about what is causing inflation
Peter Elston
Jun 2, 20222 min read
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Winter of '69
Winter of '69
I see little sign of such honesty and humility today which is concerning to say the least.
Peter Elston
Jun 1, 20224 min read
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Grin And Bear It
Signs point to the start of a bond bear market Since their peak on 4 August 2020, long duration Treasuries are down 40% in real terms....
Peter Elston
May 29, 20224 min read
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Clear and Present Danger
At the time of writing, global equities are up around 17% in US dollars year to date. Sterling weakness has added a further 3 percentage...
Peter Elston
Jan 1, 20224 min read
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Boiling Frogs
There is no bigger question for investors currently than where UK consumer price inflation is headed in the medium term.
Peter Elston
Nov 1, 20213 min read
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Boom and Bust
Speculative bubbles – famous examples of which are tulips in the 17th century, the South Sea Company in the 18th, British railways in the...
Peter Elston
Aug 1, 20214 min read
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A Game of High Stakes
Inflation has been on the rise recently in the UK and around the world. Is this rise transitory, as central bankers are saying it is, or...
Peter Elston
Jul 1, 20213 min read
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Capital Growth is Key to Finding Income in a Zero-Inflation Era
Whether because of covid-19 or otherwise, the quest for yield has in recent times been strewn with casualties. Where and how can...
Peter Elston
Oct 1, 20203 min read
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The Indiscriminate Inflow Threat
Michael Burry, the doctor-turned-hedge fund manager who foresaw the bursting of both the tech and subprime bubbles, has just revealed...
Peter Elston
Nov 1, 20193 min read
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Active Management and the Predictability of Markets Redux: Didier Sornette
This is the third in a series of four posts dedicated to the subject of financial market predictability. In this month’s letter, I look...
Peter Elston
Oct 1, 20195 min read
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Is 0% Better Than an Annuity?
Risks generally come in two forms, those that can be borne by the individual and those that should be pooled. Longevity risk and the risk...
Peter Elston
Apr 1, 20193 min read
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Gold Is Not What You Think It Is
The term “gold bug” has been popularised in recent decades as a reference to ardent fans of gold investment. The almost imperceptible...
Peter Elston
Mar 1, 20193 min read
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Inflation Warning Flashes Red
Renowned economist Milton Friedman wrote: “Inflation is a disease, a dangerous and sometimes fatal disease, a disease that if not checked...
Peter Elston
Oct 1, 20183 min read
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Am I Right to Worry About Higher Inflation?
Am I right to worry about higher inflation? Followers of our funds and my writing will know that we have been reducing risk in...
Peter Elston
Aug 1, 20185 min read
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Wealth Creation from US Equities Since 1926
I was alerted by an article in the Evening Standard to an interesting research paper entitled Do Stocks Outperform Treasury Bills? The...
Peter Elston
Aug 1, 20172 min read
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Fund Objectives and the Search for Harmony
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. We think that...
Peter Elston
Mar 1, 20176 min read
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A Selective Approach to Investing in Asia
I was fortunate to have spent twenty or so years working in Asia. It has been – and continues to be – the highest growth region in the...
Peter Elston
Dec 1, 20164 min read
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Where's My Cycle?
An update on where I think we are in the business cycle with respect to growth, inflation and markets


Correlation or causation?
Data is too often presented in an unfair, unclear and misleading way


Dear John
Liontrust's John Husselbee's arguments in support of balanced funds are lame
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