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The Latest on Equities, Bonds, Economics, Behavioural Investing, Climate Change & More


Monthly Review and Outlook
December saw a number of key economic data releases indicating continued strength across both the developed and emerging worlds. Latest...
Peter Elston
Jan 1, 20183 min read
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Professional Adviser: Loud and Clear
My note: this piece was written by Julian Marr and captures nicely many of my beliefs about multi-asset investing and investing more...
Peter Elston
Dec 29, 20176 min read
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Keeping it Simple – How to Add Value Effectively Through Tactical Asset Allocation
Take a look at the equity weight over time of some multi-asset funds and you’d have thought that the manager was at best flipping coins...
Peter Elston
Nov 1, 20174 min read
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Applying a Value-Oriented Approach to Asset Allocation
We employ two types of asset allocation: strategic and tactical. The strategic asset allocation for a particular fund represents the...
Peter Elston
Oct 1, 20173 min read
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Five Points about Active Management in the Multi-Asset Space
I was presenting a slide deck entitled ‘The Art and Science of Multi-Asset Investing’ at five venues across the country recently, as part...
Peter Elston
Oct 1, 20176 min read
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Multi-Asset Value Investing
This article is about the new investment process that was introduced while I was chief investment officer at Seneca Investment Managers,...
Peter Elston
Sep 1, 20173 min read
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How to Protect your Portfolio
My framework for thinking about asset allocation and thus portfolio protection is based around business cycle analysis. It is well...
Peter Elston
Aug 1, 20173 min read
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Preparing for the Next Downturn
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. The whole point...
Peter Elston
Jul 1, 20174 min read
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Preparing for the Impending End of the Bond Bull Market
I know I bang on about this, but value investing is about so much more than buying low price-to-earnings or low price-to-book stocks....
Peter Elston
Mar 1, 20175 min read
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2017 Investment Outlook
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. My job is to...
Peter Elston
Feb 1, 20175 min read
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Current Portfolio Positioning Versus a Year Ago
Our funds’ tactical asset allocation positioning is very close to where it was this time last year, which means our views on the various...
Peter Elston
Jan 1, 20171 min read
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Tactical Asset Allocation and the Business Cycle
I recently came across a paper written in 2008 by Robeco’s Pim van Vliet and David Blitz entitled Dynamic Strategic Asset Allocation:...
Peter Elston
Jan 1, 20174 min read
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Citywire Investment Committee No.2
As I write this Donald Trump has just been declared president and I congratulate him on playing a blinder of a hand. Let’s hope he can...
Peter Elston
Dec 1, 20164 min read
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Citywire Investment Committee No.1
At Seneca we have a five-year investment time horizon so our views don’t tend to change very often. I have little doubt that when I write...
Peter Elston
Oct 1, 20163 min read
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Navigating a Low Growth Future
For savers, the combination of lower investment returns and rising longevity is a toxic combination. In days gone by one may have only...
Peter Elston
Aug 2, 20164 min read
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Navigating a Low Growth World
While it is far from clear what its long term impact will be, Britain’s vote to leave the EU has shone a light on the growth problems in...
Peter Elston
Jul 31, 20164 min read
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Strategic Asset Allocation (SAA) Review
We have just concluded our annual review of our funds’ strategic asset allocations. We have made some small changes to the underlying...
Peter Elston
Jun 1, 20162 min read
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Introduction of New Investment Process – One Year On
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. Our new...
Peter Elston
May 1, 20169 min read
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Our Current Exposure to the US
Our exposure to US equities has been fairly light for some time, a position that on the face of it hasn’t worked for us. US equities are...
Peter Elston
May 1, 20161 min read
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Is Multi-Asset a Gimmick?
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. During a break...
Peter Elston
Apr 1, 20165 min read
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Where's My Cycle?
An update on where I think we are in the business cycle with respect to growth, inflation and markets


Correlation or causation?
Data is too often presented in an unfair, unclear and misleading way


Dear John
Liontrust's John Husselbee's arguments in support of balanced funds are lame
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