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The Latest on Equities, Bonds, Economics, Behavioural Investing, Climate Change & More


Some Home Truths for Investors
American author and publisher William Feather once noted, “One of the funny things about the stock market is that every time one person...
Peter Elston
Jul 31, 20183 min read
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The Benefits of Smaller Fund Size
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. It is well...
Peter Elston
Jul 31, 20183 min read
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Gaining an Edge from Gambling
I never gamble. Not because I think it is a stupid thing to do - though it certainly can be - I just don’t have the time or inclination....
Peter Elston
Jun 30, 20183 min read
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Review and Outlook
June saw equity markets around the world give back some of the gains made in April and May. The trigger for these falls appeared to be...
Peter Elston
Jun 30, 20184 min read
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Tactical Asset Allocation in the Current Phase of the Business Cycle
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. Our analysis...
Peter Elston
Jun 30, 20184 min read
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Cryptocurrencies: the Ultimate Bubble
Remember cryptocurrencies? Actually, that is a little unfair as they are still popular and thus still have much further to fall. Bitcoin...
Peter Elston
May 31, 20184 min read
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Review and Outlook
The month of May saw equities on the whole continuing to recover from their February and March declines as economic data remained broadly...
Peter Elston
May 31, 20183 min read
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Hubris is the Greatest Challenge
I am not exactly sure how I have ended up as a chief investment officer. Looking forward at the investment landscape, I generally only...
Peter Elston
May 31, 20183 min read
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Review and Outlook
Although April saw equity markets look a little perkier, following a period of weakness that began in mid-January, it also saw safe haven...
Peter Elston
Apr 30, 20183 min read
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Investment Markets are There to Make you Look Stupid
When you make a decision to buy something, whether a stock, a fund, an ETF or a passive fund, you impose on yourself a second decision,...
Peter Elston
Apr 30, 20183 min read
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Secular Stagnation? Or the Optimistic View?
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. Since the Great...
Peter Elston
Apr 30, 20185 min read
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A Timely Reminder
As the current global business cycle matures, I thought it might be an opportune moment to revisit one of the basic but counterintuitive...
Peter Elston
Mar 31, 20184 min read
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Review and Outlook
If February was remembered for the somewhat inexplicable falls in equity markets – there was no obvious trigger – March will be...
Peter Elston
Mar 31, 20183 min read
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Behave Yourself!
I’ve been writing quarterly articles for Trustnet over the last couple of years. The first four were on the subject of ‘investment risk’,...
Peter Elston
Mar 1, 20185 min read
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Monthly Review and Outlook
February will be remembered for the sharp fall in equity markets across the world at the beginning of the month. Our view was at the time...
Peter Elston
Mar 1, 20183 min read
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My Framework for Tactical Asset Allocation
My framework for tactical asset allocation is based on business cycle analysis and the documented findings that asset classes tend to...
Peter Elston
Feb 1, 20184 min read
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Monthly Review and Outlook
January on the whole saw economic data releases that were consistent with key economies either having entered expansion phase or...
Peter Elston
Feb 1, 20183 min read
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How Investors Often Make Bad Mistakes En Masse
Having now written two series of articles exclusively for Trustnet on the subjects of ‘investment risk’ and ‘value investing’, I now turn...
Peter Elston
Feb 1, 20184 min read
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Tactical Asset Allocation Framework
My first piece about asset allocation set out my framework for both strategic asset allocation and tactical asset allocation, as well as...
Peter Elston
Feb 1, 20183 min read
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A Review of 2017 and Outlook for 2018
All three of our funds have been blowing passive multi-asset funds out of the water based on volatility adjusted returns for five years...
Peter Elston
Jan 1, 20185 min read
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Where's My Cycle?
An update on where I think we are in the business cycle with respect to growth, inflation and markets


Correlation or causation?
Data is too often presented in an unfair, unclear and misleading way


Dear John
Liontrust's John Husselbee's arguments in support of balanced funds are lame
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