Peter ElstonJun 17, 20223 min readMacroThe Ultimate Bearish Scenario?The combination of central bank weakness and fiscal policy error is a toxic one
Peter ElstonJun 2, 20222 min readMacroMea Culpa? Hardly...It is important that governments are honest about what is causing inflation
Peter ElstonJun 1, 20224 min readMacroWinter of '69Winter of '69 I see little sign of such honesty and humility today which is concerning to say the least.
Peter ElstonMay 29, 20224 min readMarketsGrin And Bear ItSigns point to the start of a bond bear market Since their peak on 4 August 2020, long duration Treasuries are down 40% in real terms....
Peter ElstonJan 1, 20224 min readMarketsClear and Present DangerAt the time of writing, global equities are up around 17% in US dollars year to date. Sterling weakness has added a further 3 percentage...
Where's My Cycle?An update on where I think we are in the business cycle with respect to growth, inflation and markets