Peter ElstonApr 1, 20203 minStatistics and ScienceThe Price of SafetyThe University of Cambridge’s Centre for the Study of Existential Risks conducts research in three areas: risks associated with...
Peter ElstonFeb 1, 20195 minMarketsWas 2018 the Start of the Next Bear Market? 2018 was looking all fine and dandy up until the beginning of October. Equity markets, though having been driven by a small number of...
Peter ElstonJan 1, 20197 minMacro2019 Investment OutlookFrom Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. 2018 was looking...
Peter ElstonAug 1, 20185 minMacroAm I Right to Worry About Higher Inflation?Am I right to worry about higher inflation? Followers of our funds and my writing will know that we have been reducing risk in...
Peter ElstonJun 1, 20162 minInflation WatchCore inflation rates in the developed world have been fairly stable in recent months at around the 1.3% per annum level (see Chart 1)....
Peter ElstonFeb 1, 20162 minInflation WatchThere are very tentative signs of improvement in inflation numbers around the world (improvement could mean it either rising if it is too...
Peter ElstonNov 1, 20151 minInflation WatchOverall, inflation pressures in the developed world and in key emerging markets remain very weak. This means that monetary policy will...
Peter ElstonJan 1, 20153 minInvestors Should not Ignore the Deflation ThreatThe spectre of deflation is once again looming, with Bank of England governor Mark Carney refusing to rule it out in the UK in the coming...