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Investing

Posts in this category are about the fund management industry, active and passive investing, value investing, smart beta, investment philosopy, investor behaviour etc.

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30 Sept 2020

Capital Growth is Key to Finding Income in a Zero-Inflation Era

Whether because of covid-19 or otherwise, the quest for yield has in recent times been strewn with casualties. Where and how can...

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30 Jun 2020

Is Dividend Investing Dead?

In general, stocks that pay out as dividends either nothing or a low portion of profits have, in recent years, been outperforming those...

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1 Mar 2020

Stand Firm and Be Strong

For some time now I have been expecting the current global business cycle to end in 2020, with the caveat that it was almost as likely to...

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1 Dec 2019

The Liquid Illiquid Solution

There is little doubt that low interest rates have been causing savers and investors difficulties in recent years. In decades past, not...

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30 Sept 2019

Many Unhappy Returns

Investment strategist James Montier now works with famed fund manager Jeremy Grantham at GMO, but in a past life wrote a fabulous paper...

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31 Jul 2019

Take a Stand Against Mediocrity

The investment profession is one I have often said that I both love and loath. I love the company or country analysis; and the fact that...

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31 May 2019

Edge, Paradox, Bravery and the Stock Market

I have written in the past about the Kelly Betting Criterion, named after the Bell Laboratory researcher John L. Kelly. In short, ‘the...

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31 Mar 2019

Is 0% Better Than an Annuity?

Risks generally come in two forms, those that can be borne by the individual and those that should be pooled. Longevity risk and the risk...

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31 Aug 2020

What is a Technology Business?

Our ancestor who made the first stone tool, perhaps as long as three million years ago, set in motion one of the most enduring of...

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31 May 2020

Gold is No Longer for Fools

As many will know from bitter experience, a crisis often has two stages. The first is the crisis itself, whether a natural disaster that...

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1 Feb 2020

Education, Education, Education

It always saddens me when I hear about small investors having lost, perhaps irretrievably, a sizeable portion of their net worth, in...

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1 Nov 2019

The Indiscriminate Inflow Threat

Michael Burry, the doctor-turned-hedge fund manager who foresaw the bursting of both the tech and subprime bubbles, has just revealed...

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31 Aug 2019

Active Management and the Predictability of Markets Redux: Robert Shiller

This is the second in a series of four posts dedicated to active management, focussing on some of the key figures involved in the study...

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31 Jul 2019

Active Management and the Predictability of Markets Redux: Eugene Fama

According to Moody’s, total assets in passive funds in the US will overtake those in actively managed funds in 2021. In light of this...

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30 Apr 2019

Long-term Returns and the Dangers of Complacency

From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. Recently I was...

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1 Mar 2019

Gold Is Not What You Think It Is

The term “gold bug” has been popularised in recent decades as a reference to ardent fans of gold investment. The almost imperceptible...

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31 Jul 2020

Pick Out Persistent Themes

To invoke US conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway’s vice chairman Charlie Munger: if investing is not thematic, what the hell is it? Here is...

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31 Mar 2020

The Price of Safety

The University of Cambridge’s Centre for the Study of Existential Risks conducts research in three areas: risks associated with...

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1 Jan 2020

Humility and Hubris

A few years ago, I attended a talk by a professional sports bettor. The aim of the talk was to explain the differencebetween professional...

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1 Nov 2019

Active Management and the Predictability of Markets Redux: Corporate Governance

This post is the final of four in a mini-series on the subject of active management and the predictability of markets. The first three...

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31 Aug 2019

EM Investing Still Pays Dividends

I feel very fortunate to have had the opportunity to live and work abroad for a number of years. Tokyo, Hong Kong and Singapore were not...

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30 Jun 2019

A Word in Your Ear

For such a simple word, risk is quite hard to define. It is generally agreed that it pertains to danger of some sort, but that is where...

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31 Mar 2019

A Diversified Approach to Income Can Pay Dividends

Income continues to be the principal concern for many investors in the UK - both in the run-up to and throughout retirement. Reinvested...

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1 Mar 2019

Making the Most of an Investment Edge

Whether in skill games like Poker or luck games like Blackjack, repeatable success requires tilting the odds in your favour, then betting...

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